10/09/2008

Democrat Leads in PA 10th, Not Obama

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The latest Franklin & Marshall College Poll, conducted in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, shows first-term incumbent Democrat Christopher Carney leading his Republican challenger, Chris Hackett, by 14 points, 39 percent to 25 percent, with more than 36 percent of voters undecided a month from Election Day. Republican Presidential candidate John McCain leads Barack Obama in the district by 7 points, 46 percent to 39 percent.

Carney’s lead is a bit larger when undecided-but-leaning voters are included, 48 percent to 33 percent, with 18 percent completely undecided. Located in the northeastern portion of the states, east of Scranton, the 10th Congressional District is normally a reliably Republican district; George Bush defeated John Kerry there by 20 points in 2004 and Al Gore by 16 points in 2000.

There McCain and Obama both perform well among their partisans in the district and Obama has a slight advantage among independent voters. McCain leads among men, veterans, those with less than a college degree, Protestants and those over 35 years of age. Obama leads among union households, college graduates, Catholics and those under 35 years of age.

To read the poll, visit the Floyd Institute’s Center for Opinion Research.

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