Pennsylvania Statewide Poll: Governor's Race
Dr. G. Terry Madonna, Director
Center for Politics & Public Affairs
Mr. Berwood A. Yost, Director
Center for Opinion Research
The Keystone Poll is conducted by the Center for Politics & Public Affairs at Millersville University for Fox News, Philadelphia, the Philadelphia Daily News, and the Harrisburg Patriot. The telephone survey was conducted April 5 - 8, 2001, among a random sample of 499 registered voters. The sample contained 199 Republicans, 228 Democrats, and 72 Independents and Others. The sample error for the total sample is plus or minus 4.4%. As with all opinion surveys, these results are also subject to non-sampling errors. Non-sampling errors are best defined as errors that arise from interviewing, questionnaire design, and data analysis. The poll was directed by Dr. G. Terry Madonna. Data analysis and quantitative and methodological work were done by Mr. Berwood Yost. A statement relative to sample design and methodology is available upon request.
Any use of this survey must indicate that it was conducted at Millersville University.
>Q1< Some people are registered to vote and many others are not. Are you currently registered to vote at your present address?
>Q2< Are you currently registered as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or something else?
Id like to ask you a few questions about some people involved in politics today. Is your opinion of [INSERT NAME] favorable, unfavorable, undecided, or havent you heard enough about [INSERT NAME] to have an opinion?
|Favorable||Unfavorable||Undecided||Haven't Heard||Don't Know|
|Robert Casey Jr.||33%||9%||22%||29%||7%|
>9< If the Democratic primary election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Robert Casey, Jr. and Ed Rendell, would you vote for:
31% Ed Rendell
37% Robert Casey, Jr.
32% Do not know
>Q10< If the Republican primary election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Mike Fisher, Barbara Hafer, and Jeff Piccola, would you vote for:
5% Jeff Piccola
22% Barbara Hafer
22% Mike Fisher
51% Do not know
>Q11< In politics, as of today, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent?
22% Strong Republican
17% Not Very Strong Republican
7% Lean Republican
7% Lean Democrat
15% Not Very Strong Democrat
21% Strong Democrat
4% Do not know
>Q12< What do you think is the most important problem facing Pennsylvania today?
17% Unemployment, Economy
9% Dont know
7% Crime, drugs
5% Health care
2% Population, sprawl
2% Personal Finances
1% School safety
>Q13< What do you think is the most important problem facing you and your family today?
17% Personal Finances
12% Health care
12% Unemployment, Economy
8% Dont know
3% Crime, Drugs
1% Gas, Utility Prices
1% Population, sprawl
1% Child care
1% School safety
Next, as I read you some problem areas, please tell me how you think each is affecting your local community today. Do you think the problem of is about the same as it has been, that your community is making progress in this area, or that your community is losing ground.
|About the Same||Making Progress||Losing Ground||Don't Know|
|The quality of public eduction||25%||28%||39%||8%|
|Conflict among racial or ethnic groups||50%||23%||14%||13%|
|The availaibility of good paying jobs||23%||22%||46%||9%|
|Planning and managing growth in and around your area||23%||35%||34%||9%|
|The way the health care system is working||26%||14%||54%||7%|
>CNTY< What is the name of the county you live in?
>AGE< What was your AGE on your last birthday?
6% 18 24
12% 25 34
23% 35 44
24% 45 54
14% 55 64
22% Over 65
>EDUC< What was the last grade level of schooling you have completed?
4% Non high school graduate
33% High school graduate
17% Some college
9% Two-year or tech degree
23% Four year college degree
15% Postgraduate degree
>MAR< What is your CURRENT marital status?
15% Single, Never Married
9% Widow, Widower
1% Do not know
>IDEO< Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative?
9% Do not know
>REL< Do you consider yourself to be Catholic, Protestant, Jewish or something else?
21% Something Else
2% Do not know
>BAC< Do you consider yourself to be a born-again Christian or fundamentalist?
12% Do not know
>VET< Are you a military veteran?
>UNI< Do you or anyone in your household belong to a labor union?
1% Do not know
>TALK< Are you a frequent listener to political talk shows?
1% Do not know
>GUN1< Are you a gun owner?
>GUN2< Generally speaking, do you favor or oppose creating more laws that regulate gun ownership?
41% Strongly favor
18% Somewhat favor
14% Somewhat oppose
22% Strongly oppose
6% Do not know
>ABRT< Do you think that abortion should be legal under any circumstances, legal only under certain circumstances, or illegal in all circumstances?
25% Legal under any circumstances
53% Legal under certain circumstances
18% Illegal in all circumstances
3% Do not know
>RACE< Which of the following categories best describes your racial background?
<1% Asian or Pacific Islander
<1% American Indian or Alaskan Native
>INC1< And, just for statistical purposes, we need to know if your total family income is above or below $30,000 per year?
5% Under $15,000
20% Over $75,000
7% Do not know
>DONE< Note Gender of respondent