Dr. G Terry Madonna, Director
Center for Politics and Public Affairs
Berwood A. Yost, Director
Center for Opinion Research
In a three way race for the Presidency, Ross Perot would win 16 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania if the election were held today, compared to the 18 percent he receieved from Pennsylvania's voters in the 1992 Presidential election. Perot's support is consistent across many demographic variables, but he does perform well in several areas. His support is greater in Allegheny county than in any other region of the state, and is lower among Philadelphia residents. Among voting groups, Perot runs best among self-described independent voters and seems to draw equally from both Republicans and Democrats. He also does better among males and gun owners. In fact, more than half of Perot supporters are gun owners (54%) and three in five (59%) male. If Bill Clinton and Bob Dole were the only two candidates on the presidential ballot in 1996, would you be satisfied with that choice, or would you want to see an independent candidate on the ballot as well?
9/95 4/96 Satisfied with choice 33% 44% Want to see independent candidate 62% 48% Don't know 5% 8%
If the election for President was being held today and the candidates were Bob Dole, the Republican, Bill Clinton, the Democrat, and Ross Perot, the Reform Party candidate, would you vote for:
4/96 Clinton 41% Dole 27% Perot 16% Don't Know 15%
The Keystone Poll is conducted by the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Millersville University for KYW-TV3, Philadelphia, the Philadelphia Daily News, and the Harrisburg Patriot. The telephone survey was conducted September 28-30, 1996, among a random sample of adult Pennsylvanians. A total of 626 registered voters in Pennsylvania were interviewed (265 R; 310 D; 39 I and others). The sample error for the sample of voters is plus or minus 3.9%, but is larger for subgroups. The survey was weighted to reflect the known distribution of registered voters in the state.
Any use of this survey must indicate that it was conducted at Millersville University.